So Miss 
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 68.2020
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
830 H Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 17-34
906 H Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 38-20
913 H App St SUN ( 5- 8, 66.4) 38-22
920 A La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 20-30
927 H Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 25-41
1009 A Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 38-35
1018 A Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 22-20
1025 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 49-21
1108 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 27-21
1115 H Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 14-41
1122 A So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 35-42
1129 H Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 18-28
1224 N We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-27
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Miss St 17-34 -17 -3 --- -10.66
906 H Jacksonv. St 38-20 18 1 +++ 13.27
913 H App St 38-22 16 7 +++ 6.96
920 A La Tech 20-30 -10 -13 + 2.69
927 H Jacksonv. St 25-41 -16 1 --- -14.73
1009 A Georgia So 38-35 3 -8 +++ 11.26
1018 A Louisiana 22-20 2 -7 +++ 8.60
1025 H La-Monroe 49-21 28 10 ++ 4.01
1108 A Arkansas State 27-21 6 -7 +++ 12.97
1115 H Texas State 14-41 -27 2 --- -16.00
1122 A So Alabama 35-42 -7 -5 - -2.47
1129 H Troy 18-28 -10 2 --- -11.87
1224 N We Kentucky 16-27 -11 -7 -- -4.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Miss St 17-34 -17 -3 --- -10.66
927 H Jacksonv. St 25-41 -16 1 --- -14.73
1115 H Texas State 14-41 -27 2 --- -16.00
1129 H Troy 18-28 -10 2 --- -11.87
1224 N We Kentucky 16-27 -11 -7 -- -4.05
1122 A So Alabama 35-42 -7 -5 - -2.47
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 H Jacksonv. St 38-20 18 1 +++ 13.27
913 H App St 38-22 16 7 +++ 6.96
1009 A Georgia So 38-35 3 -8 +++ 11.26
1018 A Louisiana 22-20 2 -7 +++ 8.60
1108 A Arkansas State 27-21 6 -7 +++ 12.97
1025 H La-Monroe 49-21 28 10 ++ 4.01
920 A La Tech 20-30 -10 -13 + 2.69
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 17-34 -23.10 28.12 -5.26 0.98 -13.91
3 H Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 38-20 -27.17 24.05 -5.26 0.98 36.86
3 H App St ( 5- 8, 66.4) 38-22 -33.48 17.74 -5.26 0.98 24.48
3 A La Tech ( 8- 5, 75.6) 20-30 -24.27 26.95 5.26 0.98 -9.32
3 H Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 25-41 -27.17 24.05 -5.26 0.98 -15.90
3 A Georgia So ( 8- 6, 71.2) 38-35 -28.70 22.52 5.26 0.98 54.50
3 A Louisiana ( 7- 5, 69.5) 22-20 -30.35 20.87 5.26 0.98 51.25
3 H La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 49-21 -36.43 14.79 -5.26 0.98 18.70
3 A Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 27-21 -29.99 21.23 5.26 0.98 51.96
3 H Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 14-41 -28.44 22.78 -5.26 0.98 -16.52
3 A So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 35-42 -32.42 18.80 5.26 0.98 -13.32
3 H Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 18-28 -28.31 22.91 -5.26 0.98 -16.46
3 N We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-27 -24.75 26.47 -0.00 0.98 -12.14
------
140.19
|
winning pts = 237.7583 losing points = -97.5704
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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