UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick So Miss
  
So Miss               
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 68.2020

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 17-34 906 H Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 38-20 913 H App St SUN ( 5- 8, 66.4) 38-22 920 A La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 20-30 927 H Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 25-41 1009 A Georgia So SUN ( 8- 6, 71.2) 38-35 1018 A Louisiana SUN ( 7- 5, 69.5) 22-20 1025 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 49-21 1108 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 27-21 1115 H Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 14-41 1122 A So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 35-42 1129 H Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 18-28 1224 N We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 16-27

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 H Miss St                17-34     -17    -3    ---  -10.66
   906 H Jacksonv. St           38-20      18     1    +++   13.27
   913 H App St                 38-22      16     7    +++    6.96
   920 A La Tech                20-30     -10   -13    +      2.69
   927 H Jacksonv. St           25-41     -16     1    ---  -14.73
  1009 A Georgia So             38-35       3    -8    +++   11.26
  1018 A Louisiana              22-20       2    -7    +++    8.60
  1025 H La-Monroe              49-21      28    10    ++     4.01
  1108 A Arkansas State         27-21       6    -7    +++   12.97
  1115 H Texas State            14-41     -27     2    ---  -16.00
  1122 A So Alabama             35-42      -7    -5    -     -2.47
  1129 H Troy                   18-28     -10     2    ---  -11.87
  1224 N We Kentucky            16-27     -11    -7    --    -4.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   830 H Miss St                17-34     -17    -3    ---  -10.66
   927 H Jacksonv. St           25-41     -16     1    ---  -14.73
  1115 H Texas State            14-41     -27     2    ---  -16.00
  1129 H Troy                   18-28     -10     2    ---  -11.87
  1224 N We Kentucky            16-27     -11    -7    --    -4.05
  1122 A So Alabama             35-42      -7    -5    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 H Jacksonv. St           38-20      18     1    +++   13.27
   913 H App St                 38-22      16     7    +++    6.96
  1009 A Georgia So             38-35       3    -8    +++   11.26
  1018 A Louisiana              22-20       2    -7    +++    8.60
  1108 A Arkansas State         27-21       6    -7    +++   12.97
  1025 H La-Monroe              49-21      28    10    ++     4.01
   920 A La Tech                20-30     -10   -13    +      2.69

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Miss St         ( 5- 8, 76.8)    17-34      -23.10      28.12      -5.26         0.98           -13.91
   3 H Jacksonv. St    (10- 5, 72.7)    38-20      -27.17      24.05      -5.26         0.98            36.86
   3 H App St          ( 5- 8, 66.4)    38-22      -33.48      17.74      -5.26         0.98            24.48
   3 A La Tech         ( 8- 5, 75.6)    20-30      -24.27      26.95       5.26         0.98            -9.32
   3 H Jacksonv. St    (10- 5, 72.7)    25-41      -27.17      24.05      -5.26         0.98           -15.90
   3 A Georgia So      ( 8- 6, 71.2)    38-35      -28.70      22.52       5.26         0.98            54.50
   3 A Louisiana       ( 7- 5, 69.5)    22-20      -30.35      20.87       5.26         0.98            51.25
   3 H La-Monroe       ( 3- 9, 63.5)    49-21      -36.43      14.79      -5.26         0.98            18.70
   3 A Arkansas State  ( 7- 6, 69.9)    27-21      -29.99      21.23       5.26         0.98            51.96
   3 H Texas State     ( 5- 8, 71.5)    14-41      -28.44      22.78      -5.26         0.98           -16.52
   3 A So Alabama      ( 4- 8, 67.5)    35-42      -32.42      18.80       5.26         0.98           -13.32
   3 H Troy            ( 8- 6, 71.6)    18-28      -28.31      22.91      -5.26         0.98           -16.46
   3 N We Kentucky     ( 9- 4, 75.2)    16-27      -24.75      26.47      -0.00         0.98           -12.14
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       140.19

winning pts = 237.7583 losing points = -97.5704

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------